Iran-backed Hezbollah has stated in the Asian session on Tuesday that it won’t accept terms from agreements between Israel and Lebanon, who are scheduled for peace talks in Washington at 15:00 GMT.

In a Semafor interview on Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said  that “the US should ‘wait and see’ before lowering interest rates.”

In US Dollar (USD) terms, China’s Trade Surplus shrank more than expected in March.

China Trade Balance CNY declined to 354.75B in March from previous 1500B

China Exports (YoY) CNY dipped from previous 19.2% to -0.7% in March

China Imports (YoY) registered at 27.8% above expectations (11.1%) in March

China Exports (YoY) below expectations (8.3%) in March: Actual (7.1%)

China Trade Balance USD came in at $51.13B below forecasts ($112B) in March

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $91.50 during the Asian hours on Tuesday.

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence: -29 (March) vs previous -1

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Conditions declined to 6 in March from previous 7

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, speaking in a fireside chat earlier this Tuesday, warned that Australia is facing a difficult macroeconomic backdrop.

Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence down to -12.5% in April from previous 1.2%

Singapore Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) came in at -0.3%, above expectations (-0.5%) in 1Q

Singapore Gross Domestic Product (YoY) came in at 4.6% below forecasts (5.4%) in 1Q

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to tighten policy on 14 April 2026 by increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (S$NEER) slope to counter imported inflation.

HSBC Asset Management underlines that China’s technology sector remains a key equity theme despite shifting attention to Middle East tensions. The firm points to strong performance of the Shenzhen Chinext index, supported by advanced manufacturing, green energy and semiconductors.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect Asian FX, especially high-beta Oil importers like KRW, THB, PHP and INR, to open weaker as renewed geopolitical uncertainty supports crude and the Dollar. However, resumed Hormuz transit tempers tail risks.

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to reverse its earlier easing by normalizing the SGD Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) policy band.

Commerzbank’s Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen examines Iran’s proposal to charge Strait of Hormuz tolls in Renminbi and finds it unlikely to trigger a major Petroyuan shift.

Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish reviews Colombian presidential election dynamics ahead of the May 31, 2026 vote, noting that polls suggest a runoff where a unified right has an advantage over the Historic Pact candidate.

Danske Bank’s Louise Aggerstrøm Hansen and Asger Wilhelm Dalsjö report that Danish private consumption strengthened in March, with real spending excluding energy up 1.2% month-on-month and 3.8% year-on-year.

The US President Donald Trump spoke on a press conference at the Oval Office and praised the Vice-President JD Vance work on Iran as he said that he “has done a very good job on Iran.”

Deutsche Bank economists say Germany’s recovery is being pushed back by higher energy costs and uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict. They cut their 2026 growth forecast to 1.0% while keeping 2027 at 1.5%. Inflation is projected to average 2.7% this year.

Societe Generale economists highlight that Euro area activity data in Q1 have been somewhat disappointing, especially German industry, but they see limited upside risk to their cautious 0.1% qoq German GDP forecast.

Deutsche Bank economists note the European Central Bank (ECB) kept rates unchanged in March but now expects two 25 bp hikes in June and September, already fully priced by markets. The deposit rate sits at 2.0%, seen as neutral.

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Frantisek Taborsky say Hungary’s new Tisza-led supermajority reduces short-term policy uncertainty and raises expectations for institutional repair, EU relations and fiscal credibility.

United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) below forecasts (4.06M) in March: Actual (3.98M)

United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) down to -3.6% in March from previous 1.7%

HSBC's report on G8 currencies argues that Middle East geopolitics and Oil remain the dominant drivers for the Dollar and major FX. The bank highlights a recently strengthened USD–Oil correlation driven by supply shock and safe-haven flows.